Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000159 0.000177 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000102 0.000120 0.000143 0.000170 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000180 0.000224 0.000281
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000142 0.000186 0.000242 0.000319
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000198 0.000268 0.000369
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000204 0.000288 0.000411
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000067 0.000097 0.000144 0.000212 0.000309 0.000459
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093 0.000142 0.000217 0.000327 0.000501
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000058 0.000089 0.000141 0.000222 0.000344 0.000545
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000087 0.000141 0.000228 0.000364 0.000594
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000084 0.000141 0.000234 0.000385 0.000645
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000241 0.000406 0.000699
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000140 0.000245 0.000424 0.000750
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000078 0.000140 0.000253 0.000449 0.000816
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000262 0.000476 0.000887
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000265 0.000493 0.000942
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000142 0.000276 0.000526 0.001030
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000141 0.000280 0.000546 0.001095
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000070 0.000141 0.000288 0.000573 0.001174
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000140 0.000291 0.000591 0.001238
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000065 0.000139 0.000294 0.000611 0.001308
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000138 0.000300 0.000635 0.001387
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000139 0.000306 0.000661 0.001474